Greenspan Phd Thesis

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And then, when the 1970s came, with very heavy supply side shocks -- the quadrupling of OPEC oil prices overnight, a rash of bad harvests, and the terrible price/wage control system contrived by Arthur Burns and Nixon 17 months before the election in order to ensure that they won. And Keynesianism, if it was thought to promise perpetual prosperity, became disparaged. And when I went quarterly to the Federal Reserve meetings, and he was there, we agreed only twice in the course of the business cycle. And this particular group just said, in effect, that the system will self regulate because the market is all a big rational system. You can take the boy out of the cult but you can't take the cult out of the boy.Those guys were useless at Federal Reserve meetings. And this brings us to Alan Greenspan, whom I've known for over 50 years and who I regarded as one of the best young business economists. He actually had instruction, probably pinned on the wall: 'Nothing from this office should go forth which discredits the capitalist system.

And then, when the 1970s came, with very heavy supply side shocks -- the quadrupling of OPEC oil prices overnight, a rash of bad harvests, and the terrible price/wage control system contrived by Arthur Burns and Nixon 17 months before the election in order to ensure that they won. And Keynesianism, if it was thought to promise perpetual prosperity, became disparaged. And when I went quarterly to the Federal Reserve meetings, and he was there, we agreed only twice in the course of the business cycle. And this particular group just said, in effect, that the system will self regulate because the market is all a big rational system. You can take the boy out of the cult but you can't take the cult out of the boy.Those guys were useless at Federal Reserve meetings. And this brings us to Alan Greenspan, whom I've known for over 50 years and who I regarded as one of the best young business economists. He actually had instruction, probably pinned on the wall: 'Nothing from this office should go forth which discredits the capitalist system.

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That could be misleading, because it could be completely consistent with continuing decreases in employability, an adverse balance of payments, and a move of both the consumer section and the investing section towards non-spending -- towards saving and hoarding. (Then my crummy Radio Shack recorder -- caveat emptor -- spent yesterday afternoon trying to destroy the file.) Sameulson is an energetic 94 years old and the conversation ran for about an hour, so I've decided to break the transcript into two parts. The first part of the conversation is mostly economic history -- the rise and fall (and rise) of Keynes, the influence of Milton Friedman, and the era of Alan Greenspan.

I don't think we would enjoy a lost decade, like the two lost decades the Japanese had. Thanks to Brad De Long for letting me know who Lorie Tarshis is, along with the proper spelling of his name. Part two covers current events -- the need for a more stimulus spending and how his nephew (one Larry Summers) is doing running the economy.

A few months ago, Atlantic Business writer Conor Clarke interviewed Samuelson about how the economics field failed to prepare us for the financial crisis and the Great Recession. Samuelson has a long list of accomplishments -- A John Bates Clark Medal, a Nobel Prize -- that I won't try to recap here.

Samuelson is one of the most influential economists of the Post-WWII era, and this is a brilliant, informative and entertaining interview.

Self regulation never worked as far as macroeconomic events -- whether we're talking about post-Napoleonic War business cycles or the big south sea bubble back in Isaac Newton's time, up to today's time. Macroeconomics -- even with all of our computers and with all of our information -- is not an exact science and is incapable of being an exact science.

The pendulum just swings back in the other direction. Has macroeconomics learned anything in the past 30 or even in the past 70 years? It can be better or it can be worse, but there isn't guaranteed predictability in these matters.

I wasn't yet a graduate of high school for another few months.

And that was about the low point of the Herbert Hoover/Andrew Mellon phase after October of 1929. And I couldn't reconcile what I was being taught at the university of Chicago -- the lectures and the books I was being assigned -- with what I knew to be true out in the streets. I spent the four years I was an undergraduate working on the beach.

I don't know if you know the name, the professor E.

Cary Brown wrote kind of the definitive article in the American Economic Review on what had been accomplished by deficit spending that was sustained.

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